Nearly 800,000 new voters have registered since 2018. There are a huge number of potentially competitive races. More than 940,000 mail-in ballots have been requested in Georgia for the Jan. 5 runoff election that will decide which party controls the Senate… Georgia has the rare opportunity to vote on two Senate races in 2020. Jon Ossoff 7. Faith & Freedom made Georgia one of its top three spending targets in a $50 million get-out-the-vote program during the general election and plans increased organizing for the runoffs. If I may interject in this Florida talk real quick. Two counties where we might be able to see that these trends converge are: Gwinnett County in Georgia and Wilson County, NC. Author of POLITICO Massachusetts Playbook. Obama, Biden, Harris... and Trump. A Division of NBCUniversal. Runoff. In 2017, Ossoff set fundraising records in a special election … Democrats have flipped one net seat for a total of 48. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Perdue. So the majority could be won tonight. Polling averages suggested a close race between Perdue and Ossoff. Tricia Carpenter McCracken 6. But he'd need a pretty strong W from Biden to do that. Darrell McGuire(Write-in) 2. Republicans go into the night with a 53-47 majority. Let's assume Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas are going to Trump. advance. Neither of Georgia’s Republican senators drew a majority on Election Day, sending both of their races to special rematches in January that will likely determine control of the Senate… Along with the runoff race between Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock, it will determine control of the Senate. GOP strategist just made this point to me: If Florida goes red in 2020, while Georgia, NC, Texas are seen as more/just as competitive for Dems, it could totally change Florida's role in presidential politics. All Rights Reserved. That’s a point that they made. James Knox 5. This is a spot where if Republicans can dig up some new non-college educated white voters, they might show up here. That could be enough to put Biden over the top, depending on which way they lean. Give him Hawaii, Biden needs to find 58 electoral votes somewhere — some combination of Minnesota (10), Arizona (11), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Pennsylvania (20), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Maine (3), ME-02 (1), NE-02 (1), Georgia (16). © 2020 CNBC LLC. The U.S. Senate race between Republican Senator David Perdue and Democrat Jon Ossoff in Georgia appeared to be heading for a January runoff on Thursday, potentially making a … One note about the travel to Georgia: obviously it's being done in an effort to flip the state for Biden. But it also happened in Georgia’s regularly scheduled Senate election: Returns currently show Republican Sen. David Perdue at 49.7 percent of the vote and Democrat Jon Ossoff at … Republican Sens. Hey, all! There’s a weird, right-wing push to boycott January’s pivotal U.S. Senate runoffs. Senate Dems were ecstatic that Biden, Harris and Obama visited the state in the closing stretch. A recent InsiderAdvantage poll showed that only half of Georgia voters believe the results of the November election were fair and accurate. Dems had expressed some confidence to me in Ossoff's path to 50% of the vote and avoiding a Jan runoff. Pollster and strategist Frank Luntz on the tight Senate races in Georgia. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/georgia-swing-states-428528, Trump aims to squeeze more votes out of rural Georgia. Popular vote in Georgia over time. Now that California is in Biden's column, he's at 209 electoral votes, to Trump's 119. Estimated remaining 46,126. Shane Hazel(L) 2. Ossoff. But a GOP pollster told me that for Trump to win in Georgia, he'll have to win at least 58 percent of election day vote in order to catch up to the lead Dems built in early/absentee voting. For that reason, I’m keeping a close eye on the Sunbelt, especially Georgia and NC, for signs of what started in 2018 is now extending into 2020. The special election there is almost certain to go to a runoff. General election candidates The general election candidate list is incomplete. Governor Brian Kemp appointed Kelly Loeffler to serve as Isakson's replacement, effective January 6, 2020, until the special election. Residents of Georgia have until December 7 to register to vote in these contests. I went to high school in Atlanta and it's been fascinating to watch the massive demographic shifts that have been happening there, from people of color moving to the suburbs to the fast-growing immigrant population. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. I got to cover the 2018 House midterms, and the themes for that election (suburban flight from GOP, deeper party polarization in suburban/urban vs. rural/exurban, gender gap between the two parties) are now, likely, to come into fuller view. In Georgia's other Senate race, Perdue is seeking a second term as senator against Ossoff, a former media executive. Ossoff's campaign raised more than $32.3 million while Perdue's campaign collected about $21.1 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Top two runoffs were necessitated when no candidate received 50% in the November 3, 2020 general election. Georgia voters: Please vote! Marckeith DeJesus 3. The runoffs will determine which party controls the Senate. Georgia voted Republican in eight of the last nine presidential elections, but Democrats won at least 45% in the last three cycles. ATLANTA — The State of Georgia now has the eyes of the entire country on it as the power to declare a winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election and which party will have majority control in the Senate lies in the hands of the voters. If Democrats can flip two of those three, they'll likely win back the majority six years after losing it. Helllo from DC! (R)David Perdue is the betting favorite over Jon Ossoff in the Georgia Senate runoff election. The second Georgia Senate race between GOP Sen. David Perdue and Democrat Jon Ossoff will go to a runoff. The Trump campaign recognized that – sending VP Mike Pence here last week to rally support. The 2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, following Senator Johnny Isakson's resignation effective December 31, 2019. If you can legally vote in Georgia, mark your calendar for Jan. 5, 2021. Republicans have won 50 Senate seats so far, according to NBC. Happy Election Day! Ballotpedia staff compiled these profiles from candidates' campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something big elsewhere. There are also races in Montana, South Carolina, Kansas, Alaska and Texas that could flip if Democrats are having a REALLY good night. This is breaking news. Both parties focused their attention and money on Georgia when it appeared two runoffs would determine Senate control. Georgia has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Voter enthusiasm has been high there, setting records, and I'm curious to see if this is the year Georgia turns blue. Speaking of surprise swing states this year, there's Georgia. Below is a chart over time of our model’s best estimate of each major party’s share of the vote in Georgia’s Senate race (ignoring votes cast for third parties) . By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Check back for updates. Ok, fine, I’ll specify slightly more. And if Republicans are having a really strong night, Michigan is their next best opportunity. Got a confidential news tip? Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Georgia is one of the more diverse states in the U.S. Georgia's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Call the Georgia Secretary of State voter hotline at 470-312-2635, or the nonpartisan Election Protection Hotline at 866-687-8683, if you have a … I still have a hard time believing the Democratic nominee has a shot of picking up its 16 electoral votes, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest that it's in play. To your question, Charlie, is ‘everything’ too broad of an answer? Maya Dillard Smith 4. Clifton Kilby(Independent) Withdrew, disqualified, or did not make ballot 1. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. In any case, Georgia will be a heavy lift for Dems, even if the Atlanta suburbs are bolting the GOP. That's why I wrote about it not too long ago: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/georgia-swing-states-428528, “I think all of these skeptics that there may have been scattered in rural Georgia are now united behind Trump,” said one GOP state…. (Remember Super Tuesday?) Temper your expectations on the timeline for when to expect to have definitive results in Georgia because of this: Charlie Yes! So I think the current margin there is going to shrink, Getting at the “red mirage” idea, if we don’t get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania it’s easy to see Trump’s lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Georgia will host two runoffs on Jan. 5, the other being a special election between GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock to finish the remainder of retired Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. Reporting live from my couch, which is where I’ve been since … Super Tuesday. No surprise, I'm watching the battle for Senate control. The twin runoff election will take place on Jan. 5 Republicans battling for the decisive Georgia Senate runoffs have encountered an unexpected enemy in recent days: their own base. Trump’s Enablers Are Sabotaging the Georgia Senate Runoff Election–and Helping Democrats . 4,952,440. Georgia Senate Special Election - Open Primary Key 2020 Races: President | Senate | GA-6 | GA-7 RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | RCP House Map | … Charlie, Look no further than who's shown up there in the last week! Teresa Tomlinson Withdrew, disqualified, or did not … Republicans in Georgia are facing a perfect storm that puts the White House and its two GOP-held Senate seats at risk. Same for GA senate races Charlie, I don’t know Georgia as well as Florida, but considering how whites performed in Florida, it’s difficult to see how they don’t do the same in Georgia, For example, Holly, one example from Jen O’Malley Dillon, Biden’s campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Racist lawmakers built Georgia’s election system — and it could affect the balance of the Senate. Perdue won his 2014 Senate race by a margin of about 8 percentage points. Georgia Senate Election Results 2020. The possibilities are a little dizzying. Starting with Gwinnett, this northern Atlanta suburban county used to be solidly Republican territory. 1. Georgia voters will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate in two January runoff elections. I am watching Georgia tonight. Perdue, the first-term senator and former business executive, faced Ossoff, a former journalist who lost a tight, high-profile U.S. House special election in 2017. But it's also hugely important for the Senate races. Donald Trump Jr. slammed attorney L. Lin Wood for asking Republican Georgia voters to withhold their votes during the upcoming runoff election, which will determine what party controls the Senate. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. Meanwhile, Perdue has tried to paint Ossoff as pursuing a "radical socialist agenda.". Mail ballot processing starts weeks before Election Day. We're not likely to get a call out of Georgia. Live 2020 Georgia election results and maps by country and district. Profiles are also included for candidates who have not completed a survey but lead in polling, fundraising, or noteworthy endorsements or have been identified by local media sources as being noteworthy. (PA, GA, MI)". Yes, Charlie. These polls are associated with the Georgia Senate runoff elections on January 5, 2021. He can lose Georgia, but then he needs to win EVERYTHING ELSE if he also lost Pennsylvania. Georgia will host two runoffs on Jan. 5, the other being a special election between GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock to finish the remainder of retired Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. Winning both Georgia elections would get them to an even split, giving Vice President-elect Kamala Harris a tiebreaking vote and Democrats unified control of the White House and Congress. Ossoff has criticized Perdue for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, including federal investigations into his stock trading around the start of the U.S. Covid-19 crisis. Georgia Senate runoff spurs election probe of groups trying to register out-of-state voters 'Voting in Georgia when you're not a resident of Georgia is a felony,' secretary of state says POLITICO's coverage of 2020 races for President, Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. Democrats will already control the House and White House. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Elbert Bartell Democratic primary candidates 1. If Democrats can run up a big, big score here, that’s how Biden manages to pull off a victory in Georgia, a state that hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1992. In this special election, Republican incumbent Sen. Kelly Loeffler is … Thanks to a law in Georgia requiring candidates to achieve at least 50% of the vote, both Senate races in that state are headed to a runoff election on January 5, 2021. In a Monday tweet, Trump Jr. told GOP voters to “IGNORE” people calling for a boycott on voting for Georgia Republican Sens. One thing I've thought about today in Georgia: Hillary Clinton lost the state by about 230,000 votes in 2016. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Georgia has not elected a Democratic senator since 1996, but a growing young and non-White electorate has helped shift the state into battleground status. It's definitely a big lift. Republican Sen. David Perdue will not break the 50% threshold needed to win outright in this month's election and will again face Democrat Jon Ossoff next year. Famous names had already been pouring money into the Georgia Senate contests well before Election Day. But one thing to keep a close eye on: Georgia. The race drew national attention and extensive funding as Democrats hoped to flip the Senate in 2020. 99% of expected vote in. Among Republicans, this … “If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoral votes.”. Election results provided by the Associated Press. The likeliest flip for Republicans is Alabama. Additional candidate profiles may be added up u… It will be updated following the primary on June 9, 2020. Now, it’s one of those quintessential 2020 examples of a place that’s booming, diversifying and turning away from Trump. Wilson County, a suburban/exurban county in eastern NC, voted for Clinton in 2016, but barely. Alex's sources are likely right, and it's going to be a long wait. It's clearly a battleground. Sarah Riggs Amico 2. We want to hear from you. The state hasn't voted for a Dem presidential nominee since 1992. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. Or... it could be won in January. If Republicans can flip this county, that’s a very good sign that they’ll be able to hold on to NC. The likeliest flips for Democrats are Colorado and Arizona, followed by tight races in Maine, North Carolina and Iowa. And the stakes are so high: Two Senate races, a state House that could flip, several competitive House races. But the race between Republican Sen. David Perdue and Dem Jon Ossoff is going to be really close. This section includes profiles of candidates who have completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Republican strategist Karl Rove said Wednesday that the Georgia Senate runoff election is “the last line of defense for conservative values” as a Republican defeat would give Democrats control of the Senate and deliver their political agenda. By Jerusalem Demsas @JerusalemDemsas Nov 6, 2020, 3:40pm EST Share this story A second U.S. Senate race in Georgia will go to a January runoff, setting up a showdown for the Senate majority, according to NBC News. Polls close at 7 p.m. in Georgia, but polls in some counties are staying open until as late as 9 p.m. because of issues earlier in the day. It's big, expensive and complicated, so what if Dems stop challenging it and focus on other SEC-type states? The 2018 gubernatorial election was super duper close. David Perdue and Jon Ossoff, candidates for U.S. Senate in Georgia. Two races in that state, and one is almost certain to head to a January 5 runoff, while the other is going to be extremely close and could potentially also go to a runoff. Following his election defeat to Joe Biden, Donald Trump has repeatedly accused election officials of presiding over systemic fraud in Georgia, a state he … The Georgia runoff election is scheduled for January 5, with early voting beginning on December 14. The reach of “the evangelical vote in Georgia is very large and very strong,” Timothy Head, the group’s executive director, said in an interview. Charlie don't sleep on Georgia! One thing to keep in mind about Georgia is that it looks like there are still a lot of votes to come from the big suburbs around Atlanta.